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India Emerges as World’s Third-Largest Military Power in 2025, Defence Exports Set to Surge

India, home to nearly 1.47 billion people, has emerged as the world’s third-largest military power in 2025, ranking behind only the United States and China, according to the Lowy Institute Asia Power Index 2025. The milestone year marked a decisive shift in India’s defence posture, highlighting operational readiness, indigenous capability, and a growing role in the global defence market.

The outgoing year proved transformational for India’s defence sector amid evolving global and regional security challenges. A major highlight was Operation Sindoor, which showcased India’s indigenous weapon systems and record-setting anti-drone operations, underscoring the country’s combat preparedness and technological maturity. Analysts view the operation as a clear signal of India’s emphasis on self-reliance and modern warfare capabilities.

While the Lowy Institute ranked India third globally, the Global Firepower index placed India fourth in 2025, behind the United States, China, and Russia. According to Global Firepower data, India is a nuclear-armed nation with a defence expenditure of approximately US$75 billion in 2025. The country maintains a force of about 2.19 million personnel, supported by two aircraft carriers, 513 fighter jets, 45 warships, and 18 submarines.

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Experts attribute a significant portion of India’s rising defence stature to Operation Sindoor, during which indigenous platforms were deployed extensively and anti-drone operations were conducted on an unprecedented scale. These actions reinforced India’s ability to respond effectively to modern battlefield threats, particularly in an era increasingly defined by unmanned systems and hybrid warfare.

Alongside operational success, India has accelerated its transition from a major defence importer to a credible exporter of defence technology. International defence deals expanded steadily in 2025, and analysts expect 2026 to be an even more ambitious year. With instability in neighbouring regions and shifting geopolitical dynamics, the government is reportedly considering a 20–25 percent increase in the defence budget for 2026–27.

According to Zee News, the Ministry of Defence declared 2025 as the “Year of Reforms.” Under the Aatmanirbhar Bharat initiative, India made significant advances in defence manufacturing, industrial corridors, indigenous platforms, and export growth. These reforms strengthened domestic capacity while enhancing India’s competitiveness in the global defence market.

Speaking at a recent programme, Rajnath Singh, India’s Defence Minister, stated that defence exports have increased nearly 35-fold over the past decade. India has set a target of Rs 30,000 crore in defence exports by March 2026, with a longer-term goal of Rs 50,000 crore by 2029. In the previous fiscal year (2024–25), exports stood at approximately Rs 24,000 crore.

India currently exports defence products to over 100 countries, and the success of Operation Sindoor has further encouraged global interest in Indian-made defence equipment. Experts believe the upcoming Union Budget for 2026–27 could raise defence allocations by over 25 percent to meet expanding strategic requirements.

Future military planning is expected to focus heavily on drones, AI-driven surveillance, cyber warfare, and autonomous systems. With continuing tensions along India’s borders, procurement of modern aircraft and advanced weapon systems will remain critical. Analysts suggest potential defence deals involving Russia’s SU-57 fifth-generation fighter or acquisitions from the United States. Meanwhile, the Indian Navy is preparing to expand its footprint in the Indian Ocean through modern ships and advanced weapons platforms.

To support defence production, India is developing robust infrastructure nationwide. Defence Industrial Corridors in Uttar Pradesh and Tamil Nadu, with investments exceeding Rs 91,450 crore, are expected to generate over 52,000 jobs and attract private investment. The government has also approved India’s first autonomous maritime shipyard dedicated to naval platforms.

According to the Indian Defence Research Wing, the Indian Army has indigenised 159 of 175 ammunition variants, achieving nearly 91 percent self-reliance—a critical development amid global supply-chain disruptions.

India’s defence production reached a record Rs 1.54 lakh crore in 2025, while exports grew nearly 12 percent year-on-year. With over 65 percent of defence equipment now domestically produced, India has significantly reduced import dependence and strengthened its defence ecosystem.

Observers agree that 2025 marked a turning point in India’s defence journey. Indigenous production, advanced technology, and strategic partnerships have positioned the country firmly on the path toward becoming a global defence powerhouse, with 2026 poised to set new benchmarks in capability, exports, and self-reliance.

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